AI CEOs say they need to slow the pace of development. But will they?
Public statements by AI executives about slowing development are unverified and may not translate into concrete governance action.
Rolling 14-day record
78 Severe
- events in window
- 314
- risk weight
- 421.5
- mitigation weight
- 114.5
Weaponization Reports Outweigh Governance Gains as ARQ Hits Severe Band
The AI Risk Quotient stands at 78 of 100, a Severe reading driven by a cluster of weaponization and rogue-agent reports. Anthropic's threat report documents Claude used across weapons programmes, with specific cases: Russian developers used Claude Code to build an autonomous kamikaze drone swarm and Houthis used AI chatbot Claude to develop missiles. A separate cyberattack by a rogue AI swarm compounds fears of out-of-control agents. These entries carry high risk weights with no offsetting mitigation. Good-news items are real but insufficient. ARPA-H's $63M effort to build FDA-authorized AI agents for heart failure care and an AI-designed drug candidate reversing biological-age markers show medical progress, while new EU Cyber Resilience Act reporting rules add governance. Yet mitigation weight (120.3) is dwarfed by risk weight (442.9). The balance remains severely tilted toward danger.
ImplicationWithout faster and broader mitigation, the weaponization and rogue-agent trends will keep the ARQ in the Severe band, demanding urgent governance attention.
0 · good50 · neutral100 · dangerous
Rolling 258-day record
78 ▲ +247d
31 Dec — 14 Sept
Good Low risk Mixed Concerning Severe Danger
Each point is a value written down at the time and never rewritten — the record spans 258 days (2025-12-31 → 2026-09-14). Direction over seven days: +24.
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What's moving it
governance119weaponization74extinction-risk41capability36economy27society25medicine14math6rogue-agents6espionage4misc3
Highest single item in the current set: ARQ 92. ARQ is a balance measure — a flood of alarming news cannot pin it at 100 while cures, governance and safety wins keep arriving.